Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
POS
2 - 1
CUM
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
OPA
3 - 0
CUM
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CUM
2 - 1
OXF
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
CUM
3 - 4
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 0
CUM
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
STA
3 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STE
2 - 1
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |