Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley analysis

Carlisle United Accrington Stanley
56 ELO 55
-5% Tilt -0.5%
4728º General ELO ranking 4040º
143º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
44.5%
Carlisle United
25.6%
Draw
29.9%
Accrington Stanley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
Carlisle United
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
Accrington Stanley
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Carlisle United
+32%
-2%
Accrington Stanley

ELO progression

Carlisle United
Accrington Stanley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carlisle United
Carlisle United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2005
CUM
Carlisle United
3 - 0
Leigh
LEI
76%
17%
8%
55 31 24 0
05 Mar. 2005
STE
Stevenage
2 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
43%
26%
31%
56 53 3 -1
22 Feb. 2005
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 2
Stevenage
STE
49%
25%
26%
57 53 4 -1
19 Feb. 2005
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
1 - 0
Carlisle United
CUM
44%
26%
31%
57 53 4 0
12 Feb. 2005
CUM
Carlisle United
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
55%
24%
21%
58 50 8 -1

Matches

Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2005
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
70%
18%
12%
56 44 12 0
22 Feb. 2005
STA
Accrington Stanley
1 - 1
FC Halifax Town
HAL
61%
21%
18%
57 53 4 -1
19 Feb. 2005
STA
Accrington Stanley
4 - 1
Barnet
BAR
35%
24%
40%
55 61 6 +2
12 Feb. 2005
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
63%
21%
16%
54 61 7 +1
05 Feb. 2005
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Scarborough
SCA
54%
24%
23%
53 54 1 +1