Carlisle United vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
CUM
3 - 0
LEI
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
STE
2 - 1
CUM
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 2
STE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
DAG
1 - 0
CUM
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 2
EBB
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
STA
2 - 2
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
STA
1 - 1
HAL
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
STA
4 - 1
BAR
35%
24%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
EXE
1 - 2
STA
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
STA
2 - 1
SCA
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |