Carlet vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LLO
2 - 1
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 4
ALB
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
5 - 2
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 3
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CDT
3 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALG
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PEG
3 - 3
ENG
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LLO
1 - 2
PEG
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 4
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
4 - 1
PEG
64%
21%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |