Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
54.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
8º
6º
14
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
CZJ
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
HAL
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CZJ
3 - 2
FCM
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
UBE
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WBR
4 - 0
CZJ
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
ERA
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
6 - 1
HER
15%
17%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +5 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 5
ERA
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
1 - 1
HAN
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
2 - 2
RWE
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |