Carl Zeiss Jena II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DYN
3 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
GRU
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
BUD
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WAC
2 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HAL
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FCH
3 - 2
ERZ
51%
22%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WAG
2 - 1
ERZ
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GRU
0 - 0
ERZ
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
MAR
28%
24%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |