Carl Zeiss Jena II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
POS
1 - 5
CAR
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
VFL
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
AUE
1 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RBL
3 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
4%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
GER
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SAC
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
ERZ
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GER
1 - 2
ERZ
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ERZ
4 - 2
GER
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 2
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |