Carl Zeiss Jena II vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GER
1 - 2
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
SCH
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
DYN
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
BUD
1 - 2
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
AUE
1 - 2
SAC
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ROT
1 - 2
AUE
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUE
4 - 1
ERZ
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POS
2 - 0
AUE
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AUE
3 - 1
VFL
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |