Carina Gubin vs Stilon Gorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
5º
17º
5º
44
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carina Gubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
STB
0 - 2
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
WRO
8%
16%
76%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 5
GOR
25%
21%
54%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MKC
1 - 3
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stilon Gorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SGO
3 - 2
KSP
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OWD
1 - 6
SGO
89%
9%
3%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SGO
0 - 0
MLE
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TSP
3 - 0
SGO
86%
11%
4%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGO
0 - 1
ZIE
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |