Cardiff MU vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
4º
4º
78
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAE
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 5
TNS
11%
16%
73%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAE
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TNS
5 - 1
HAV
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ABE
0 - 1
TNS
20%
20%
61%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |