Cardiff MU vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
PON
3 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
ERA
2 - 2
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
TAF
1 - 3
ABE
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
PON
1 - 2
TAF
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
TAF
2 - 3
PON
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BRY
1 - 2
TAF
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TAF
3 - 1
NEA
14%
21%
65%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +2 |