Cardiff MU vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LLF
0 - 1
CAR
10%
17%
73%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAE
56%
21%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GOY
2 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
7 - 0
GAR
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAM
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
RIS
2 - 3
ABE
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RIS
0 - 3
ABE
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 1
RIS
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RIS
1 - 2
GOY
21%
21%
59%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |