Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 2-2
Cardiff MU vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 3
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
LLA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
RUM
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
JEU
1 - 1
PRO
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RAC
5 - 0
PRO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
TPE
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |