Cardiff MU vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
NWC
73%
16%
12%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 1
HED
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
LID
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PON
0 - 0
CWM
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 0
CWM
23%
20%
57%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PON
1 - 3
LLA
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TRE
4 - 0
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |