Cardiff MU vs Flint Town United analysis

Cardiff MU Flint Town United
69 ELO 60
-2.3% Tilt -10.2%
2118º General ELO ranking 2255º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Cardiff MU
24%
Draw
20.6%
Flint Town United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
Cardiff MU
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
Flint Town United
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cardiff MU
-7%
+9%
Flint Town United

Points and table prediction

Cardiff MU
Their league position
Flint Town United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
24
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
60
60
100%
Connah's Quay
44
44
100%
Penybont
41
41
0%
Cardiff MU
41
41
0%
Bala Town
40
40
100%
Newtown
33
33
100%
Haverfordwest County
27
27
100%
Caernarfon Town
25
25
100%
Flint Town United
24
24
100%
Aberystwyth Town
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Pontypridd United
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Airbus UK
12º
0
1
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cardiff MU
Flint Town United
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Cardiff MU
Flint Town United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff MU
Cardiff MU
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2022
CAR
Cardiff MU
3 - 0
Pontypridd United
PON
65%
22%
13%
67 50 17 0
27 Aug. 2022
CAE
Caernarfon Town
5 - 1
Cardiff MU
CAR
41%
27%
32%
69 63 6 -2
20 Aug. 2022
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
0 - 4
Cardiff MU
CAR
34%
28%
38%
67 58 9 +2
13 Aug. 2022
CAR
Cardiff MU
2 - 0
Connah's Quay
CON
41%
28%
31%
66 69 3 +1
07 Aug. 2022
CAR
Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown
NEW
39%
24%
37%
66 67 1 0

Matches

Flint Town United
Flint Town United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2022
AIR
Airbus UK
1 - 3
Flint Town United
FLI
34%
25%
41%
60 52 8 0
27 Aug. 2022
PEN
Penybont
2 - 1
Flint Town United
FLI
47%
25%
28%
60 61 1 0
19 Aug. 2022
NEW
Newtown
0 - 2
Flint Town United
FLI
59%
22%
18%
59 66 7 +1
13 Aug. 2022
PON
Pontypridd United
0 - 1
Flint Town United
FLI
28%
25%
47%
59 50 9 0
09 Aug. 2022
COL
Colwyn Bay
1 - 1
Flint Town United
FLI
18%
21%
62%
59 48 11 0