Cardiff MU vs Croesyceiliog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
PON
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
BRI
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAE
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BRY
1 - 4
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
ABE
1 - 0
CRO
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
PON
0 - 2
CRO
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 1
LID
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 1
NEA
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 1
TON
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |