Cardiff MU vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
6º
6º
59
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 6
TNS
41%
23%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
44%
23%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 5
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |