Cardiff MU vs Connah's Quay analysis

Cardiff MU Connah's Quay
64 ELO 73
6.7% Tilt -6.9%
2119º General ELO ranking 2173º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
33.5%
Cardiff MU
24.1%
Draw
42.3%
Connah's Quay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
Cardiff MU
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.3%
Win probability
Connah's Quay
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Cardiff MU
Connah's Quay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff MU
Cardiff MU
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2019
CAR
Cardiff MU
1 - 0
Carmarthen Town
CAR
66%
20%
14%
65 54 11 0
08 Mar. 2019
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
0 - 4
Cardiff MU
CAR
22%
26%
53%
65 44 21 0
02 Mar. 2019
BAL
Bala Town
0 - 1
Cardiff MU
CAR
37%
25%
39%
64 61 3 +1
23 Feb. 2019
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
2 - 0
Cardiff MU
CAR
31%
27%
42%
65 55 10 -1
16 Feb. 2019
CAR
Cardiff MU
3 - 0
Llandudno FC
LLA
67%
20%
13%
66 55 11 -1

Matches

Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2019
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 3
Ross County FC
ROS
54%
22%
24%
73 67 6 0
15 Mar. 2019
CON
Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Newtown
NEW
61%
22%
18%
73 64 9 0
09 Mar. 2019
CON
Connah's Quay
0 - 2
The New Saints
TNS
37%
24%
39%
73 76 3 0
01 Mar. 2019
CAE
Caernarfon Town
1 - 2
Connah's Quay
CON
28%
23%
49%
73 61 12 0
26 Feb. 2019
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town
BAL
67%
19%
14%
73 61 12 0