Cardiff MU vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
3 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
28%
23%
50%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
4 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
BAR
69%
21%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |