Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
5 - 1
ABE
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 2
CAR
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
6 - 1
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 6
FLI
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 7
NEW
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
5 - 1
CEF
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |