Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 3
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 0
LLA
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 5
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 3
TNS
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |