Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
3 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
28%
23%
50%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CEF
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 0
LLA
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |