Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
20%
23%
56%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 3
BAN
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
CEF
4 - 3
RHY
32%
25%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 2
AIR
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 2
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |