Cardiff MU vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 4
GOY
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
PON
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 4
LID
39%
26%
36%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -3 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEA
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
PON
2 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
PON
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
TON
4 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
NWP
2 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |