Cardiff MU vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
GOY
59%
20%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
5 - 0
LID
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 2
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 1
PON
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAE
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 5
CAE
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CWM
0 - 2
CAE
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |