Cardiff MU vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
DIN
1 - 3
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
TON
0 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
CRO
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
PON
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
3 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
2 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
1 - 3
GOY
17%
22%
62%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DIN
2 - 1
BRY
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRY
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |