Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
CAR
42%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 4
AIR
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
TON
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PON
0 - 3
CAR
14%
20%
67%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAE
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
GOY
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
PON
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 2
BRI
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 3
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 0
BRI
46%
22%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |