Cardiff MU vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
6º
30
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
CAR
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAR
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
LLA
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
SWA
32%
21%
48%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 1
BAR
8%
14%
77%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |