Cardiff MU vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
6 - 1
HAV
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAL
40%
26%
35%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +6 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 4
GOY
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
TAT
2 - 4
AFC
29%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CWM
1 - 2
AFC
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 3
CAE
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GOY
3 - 2
AFC
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |