Cardiff MU vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
28%
23%
50%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABE
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
4 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABE
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |