Cardiff Corinthians vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 3
GOY
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
BRI
4 - 1
CAR
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 0
BFC
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
PON
2 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
22%
25%
54%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BFC
2 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WES
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
BRY
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |