Carchá vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 0
CAR
55%
26%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
ACH
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
CON
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
REU
1 - 0
XIN
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
XIN
2 - 1
SPD
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
XIN
1 - 0
QUI
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
2 - 1
XIN
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
XIN
4 - 2
LEO
61%
22%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |