Carchá vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIX
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
COM
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ACH
1 - 1
UNI
68%
19%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
UNI
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAC
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
MIX
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |