Carchá vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
SAC
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIX
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
QUI
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
UNI
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
UNI
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
AUR
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |