Carchá vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
53%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAY
3 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
AMA
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAC
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
ANT
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAC
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
UNI
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COB
1 - 0
UNI
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 2
ACH
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |