Carchá vs Sayaxché analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
DSA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAC
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sayaxché
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAY
2 - 1
DSA
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 2
SAY
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAY
1 - 0
DEP
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAY
1 - 0
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 1
SAY
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |