Carchá vs Sansare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
AUR
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sansare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACH
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
MIX
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
QUI
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |