Carchá vs Sansare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
IZT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 0
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
AUR
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
CAR
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sansare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
MIX
58%
22%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ROS
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |