Carchá vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
0 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
COB
3 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MIX
3 - 3
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
COB
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 1
MIX
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
DEP
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
SAC
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
AUR
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |