Carchá vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
QUI
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAY
2 - 1
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 1
DSA
32%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAC
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 3
SAC
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |