Carchá vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAY
2 - 1
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
MIX
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
AUR
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 3
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
DSA
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 1
QUI
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 1
DEP
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
QUI
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
SAC
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |