Carchá vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAY
2 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
MIX
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
DSA
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
CAR
60%
20%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
COM
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SAY
2 - 2
QUI
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 2
AUR
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 0
QUI
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
DEP
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |