Carchá vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SAC
3 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
HER
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COB
2 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
CON
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
QUI
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
SAY
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAC
3 - 2
QUI
39%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
4 - 1
DEP
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |