Primera Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Carchá vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TEC
0 - 4
CAR
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACH
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COB
1 - 3
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
ZAC
42%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |