Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
IZT
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 0
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -3 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 0
AUR
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CON
4 - 1
CAR
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
QUI
3 - 4
MIX
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MIX
1 - 1
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
MIX
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MIX
2 - 1
UNI
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |