Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
DSA
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
CAR
60%
20%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIX
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MIX
4 - 2
SAY
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 0
QUI
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
MIX
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MIX
5 - 0
QUI
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIX
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |