Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAY
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
SAC
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 0
MIX
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MIX
4 - 2
CON
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
MIX
76%
15%
10%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 2
DEP
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |