Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAC
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
COB
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ZAC
1 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
QUI
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
4 - 1
SAY
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 1
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAC
3 - 1
MIX
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 1
COB
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ZAC
3 - 1
MIX
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |