Primera Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
AMA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAC
4 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAY
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
MIX
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 0
SPD
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COA
1 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
5 - 2
IZT
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |