Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ZAC
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIX
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SAY
1 - 0
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
ZAC
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MIX
0 - 0
CON
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
ZAC
55%
26%
20%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAY
0 - 0
CON
31%
27%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
MIX
26%
29%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |