Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIX
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAY
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
AUR
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
SAY
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MIX
3 - 2
CON
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
ZAC
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
CON
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |